Grant Shapps owes us all a correction and an apology

I've invited housing minister Grant Shapps, via Twitter, to correct an inaccurate statistic which he promoted in several print and broadcast outlets over the Bank Holiday weekend.

Stagnation may be worse than we think

Over on the TUC's indispensable Touchstone blog Richard Exell charts household consumption expenditure, using the latest release from ONS which takes us up to the last quarter of 2012 http://touchstoneblog.org.uk/2013/03/stagnation-charts-1/ It's essential to look at household spending as well as income, because the two don't necessarily move together, even over quite extended periods.

Benefit cuts and the London rental market: the difference between 'very big' and 'infinite'

Some pictures are worth a thousand words. Not this one: in fact it requires about a thousand words of explanation. But what it shows is quite simple - tenants receiving Local Housing Allowance in London prior to the government's restrictions to the benefit tended, contrary to what has often been asserted, to live in cheaper areas, subject -crucially- to the local availability of rented accommodation. An opener for discussion of the impact of LHA restrictions on London's social geography in succeeding posts.

Beyond stupid: if you think these charts are dumb, have a look at this

Not your typical idiotic Daily Mail story: this one was written for them by the Treasury!

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UK employment at highest level on record (for 139th time)

Employment is at its highest levels on record, as ministers like to point out: what they omit to point out is that this particular record has been broken 139 times since 1971, including 74 times under the last government.

A misuser's guide to the OECD social expenditure database

This is the opening section of a story in today's Daily Mail.

Will working families lose out under 1% benefit uprating? Of course they will.

The story so far:

The government intends to stop uprating most benefits and tax credits with price inflation from next year, meaning that their value will fall in real terms by the difference between inflation and 1%. It is also raising the threshold for income tax from £8,105 to £9,205. This combination of measures will create winners and losers .

There's more to benefits policy than fairness

The government wants to switch to below-inflation uprating of a number of key working age benefits http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/as2012_policy_decisions.htm . The opposition points out that this change will have a big impact on working families.

UK income distribution 1961-2010/11

This chart is a by-product of some other work I've been doing. It shows the income distribution, broken down into 5% intervals, from 1961 to 2010/11. I don't think it demands a great deal of commentary. Taking the 50 year period as a whole,income growth was greater the higher up the income distribution: but that pattern really only kicks in the mid-1970's, prior to which differences in income growth were less marked and less consistently related to position in the distribution. Note that incomes are in constant prices, so the chart documents real terms change.

'The State of Welfare': a missed opportunity

In many ways Radio 4's report 'The State of Welfare' http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b01p0fpg, broadcast on 27 November to mark the 70th anniversary of the Beveridge report, showed the BBC at its best. There was something symbolically appropriate about Radio 4 disrupting its morning schedule, a revered national institution in its own right, to devote three whole hours to the social security system that Beveridge founded.

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